Miramar Misiones 1-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.12/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.22
-1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Danubio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
08.07.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-3 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
28.04.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 3-5 HT 1-2 Danubio Danubio URU
16.03.2014 Danubio Danubio 3-1 HT 2-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-0
AWAY Danubio
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones nicked a narrow win over Danubio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Miramar Misiones found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 44% of the ball to Danubio's 56%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Danubio led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Miramar Misiones and 3.00 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Danubio?

Miramar Misiones 1-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 31%, draw 30%, Danubio 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Danubio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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