Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.54
X/2
13%
7.49
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.28
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 30%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.86/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.37
+30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.0 Crosses 16.8
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
30.03.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-0 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
01.11.2022 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-5 HT 0-2 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qingdao Jonoon
3-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.71 xG 0.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
282 Passes 407
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon saw off Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Qingdao Jonoon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Qingdao Jonoon had 42% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 58%, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 1.71 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Qingdao Jonoon and 2.50 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 44%, draw 27%, Qingdao Jonoon 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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