Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.9
Over 2.5
58%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.59 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
12.0
1/2
11%
24.45
1/X
4%
20.95
X/1
9%
13.95
X/2
20%
3.36
X/X
15%
5.84
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.76
2/X
4%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 70%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.22/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.46
-33% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / -46%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
254 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 468 · 86%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.9 Crosses 18.4
6.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.56 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
17.09.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-2 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
27.05.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
09.06.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 1-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
16.05.2021 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0-1
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.35 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
219 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao squeezed past Nantong Zhiyun 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 45% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 55%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.35 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.40 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Nantong Zhiyun 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 23%, draw 23%, Chengdu Qianbao 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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