Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.39/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.11
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Corners 2
18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Sarandi 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Maipu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 48%, draw 28%, Arsenal Sarandi 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
7 Jul 2024
19:05 San Telmo vs Gimnasia Mendoza Analysis →
21:00 Alvarado vs Agropecuario Argentino Analysis →
21:00 Club Atletico Guemes vs Guillermo Brown Analysis →
21:00 Racing Cordoba vs All Boys Analysis →
21:00 Defensores Unidos vs Atletico Aldosivi Analysis →
21:00 Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Moron Analysis →