Patronato 3-0 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.9pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
0.96/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.34
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Corners 4
17.02.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato cruised past Tristan Suarez 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Patronato found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Tristan Suarez?

Patronato 3-0 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Patronato 40%, draw 30%, Tristan Suarez 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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