Tristan Suarez 0-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
16%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -24%
1.35/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.46
+4% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tristan Suarez
0-1
AWAY Patronato
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato squeezed past Tristan Suarez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tristan Suarez at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tristan Suarez had 56% of the ball to Patronato's 44%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?

Tristan Suarez 0-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 47%, draw 29%, Patronato 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tristan Suarez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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