Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.41
Over 2.5
31%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.0pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.4pp
69%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.05/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.14
-8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Quilmes
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
19.03.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
22.05.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 1-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
25.09.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
15.05.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1-2
AWAY Quilmes
50% Ball Possession 50%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes squeezed past Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 36% / 29%) promised a tight game; Quilmes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes Caseros had 50% of the ball to Quilmes's 50%, shots finished 3-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.20 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Quilmes?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 35%, draw 36%, Quilmes 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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