Temperley 4-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Temperley EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -27%
1.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.24
+14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Temperley
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Almagro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
29.07.2023 Temperley Temperley 3-1 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
26.03.2023 Almagro Almagro 2-0 HT 1-0 Temperley Temperley ARJPBN
01.08.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-0 Temperley Temperley ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Temperley
4-1
AWAY Almagro
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Temperley vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Temperley cruised past Almagro 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Temperley as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Temperley had 59% of the ball to Almagro's 41%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Temperley and 1.33 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Temperley vs Almagro?

Temperley 4-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Temperley vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Temperley win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Temperley 43%, draw 35%, Almagro 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Temperley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Temperley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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