APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.27
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.88
No
40%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
74%
-20.9pp
25%
Draw
15%
+10.6pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.9pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.86/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.58
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.36 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
336 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-7 HT 0-4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
24.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
11.03.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
13.07.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
16.04.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-0 HT 1-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
05.06.2021 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-2 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers squeezed past Sutherland Sharks 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.17 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 54%, draw 25%, Sutherland Sharks 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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