St. Albans Saints 1-0 Heidelberg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.91
Draw
33%
4.81
Away
33%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
13%
+20.0pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.3pp
33%
Away Win
70%
-36.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 75%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.61/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.28/0.97
-30% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses 31.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Heidelberg United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.16 xG 0.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
120 Passes 248
50% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 6-0 HT 3-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
02.06.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
03.03.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
03.07.2022 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-0 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
03.04.2022 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
09.05.2021 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Heidelberg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans Saints nicked a narrow win over Heidelberg United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; St. Albans Saints found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Albans Saints and 1.67 for Heidelberg United.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Heidelberg United?

St. Albans Saints 1-0 Heidelberg United in the Australia - National Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Heidelberg United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 33%, draw 33%, Heidelberg United 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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