Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 7 Jul 2024

📅07/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.99
6+ Goals
7%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.92/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.15
+8% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.8 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Masry
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.39 xG 0.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 448
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 3-0 HT 2-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
0-1
AWAY Al Masry
0.13 xG 1.52
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
247 Passes 453
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry edged past Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 39% of the ball to Al Masry's 61%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.13 to 1.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Masry's control.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Masry?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 07/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 25%, draw 33%, Al Masry 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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