Grindavik 1-4 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 7 Jul 2025

📅07/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grindavik EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 51%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.64/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.56
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grindavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Keflavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
31.05.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
01.03.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
23.07.2018 Grindavik Grindavik 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
07.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL
14.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 4-2 HT 2-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grindavik
1-4
AWAY Keflavik
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grindavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik ran out comfortable winners over Grindavik 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Grindavik had 32% of the ball to Keflavik's 68%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Grindavik and 1.83 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Grindavik vs Keflavik?

Grindavik 1-4 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 07/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grindavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grindavik 32%, draw 24%, Keflavik 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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