Keflavik 2-1 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+3.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.9pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.0pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.60/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.42
-6% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grindavik
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
31.05.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-2 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
01.03.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 3-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
23.07.2018 Grindavik Grindavik 3-0 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
07.05.2018 Keflavik Keflavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL
14.02.2015 Keflavik Keflavik 4-2 HT 2-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
20.03.2014 Keflavik Keflavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keflavik
2-1
AWAY Grindavik
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik nicked a narrow win over Grindavik 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Keflavik had 47% of the ball to Grindavik's 53%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Keflavik and 2.00 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Grindavik?

Keflavik 2-1 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 62%, draw 19%, Grindavik 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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