Afturelding 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2024

📅08/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.38/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.81
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
479 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
13.04.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
23.02.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 3-3 HT 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
24.09.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
20.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
26.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-1
AWAY Leiknir Reykjavik
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and Leiknir Reykjavik shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Afturelding at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Afturelding had 51% of the ball to Leiknir Reykjavik's 49%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Afturelding and 1.17 for Leiknir Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Afturelding 1-1 Leiknir Reykjavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Leiknir Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 48%, draw 26%, Leiknir Reykjavik 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
8 Aug 2024
22:15 Keflavik vs Grindavik Analysis →