Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.38
No
38%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.8pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.70/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.69
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Afturelding
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 HT 0-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZK
23.02.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 3-3 HT 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
24.09.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
20.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
26.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
23.06.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
0-1
AWAY Afturelding
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding edged past Leiknir Reykjavik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Afturelding made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leiknir Reykjavik had 41% of the ball to Afturelding's 59%, shots finished 5-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afturelding led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 2.33 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Leiknir Reykjavik 0-1 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 37%, draw 24%, Afturelding 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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