Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 7 Jul 2025

📅07/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 48%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.35/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.98
-23% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.6 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Universitario
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
196 Passes 332
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Universitario Universitario 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
09.03.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-2 HT 1-1 Universitario Universitario PER
20.08.2023 Universitario Universitario 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
01.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0-1
AWAY Universitario
0.43 xG 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
234 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Universitario found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 45% of the ball to Universitario's 55%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.43 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.50 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Deportivo Garcilaso 0-1 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 07/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 36%, draw 26%, Universitario 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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