Steel City 2-1 Toledo Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 7 Jul 2025

📅07/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steel City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Toledo Villa EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.66/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.48
-24% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steel City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Toledo Villa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
20.06.2025 Toledo Villa Toledo Villa 2-3 HT 1-0 Steel City Steel City USL2
POST-MATCH Steel City vs Toledo Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steel City edged past Toledo Villa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Steel City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Steel City vs Toledo Villa?

Steel City 2-1 Toledo Villa in the USA - USL League 2 on 07/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steel City vs Toledo Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steel City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Steel City 43%, draw 25%, Toledo Villa 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steel City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Steel City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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