Vasco da Gama 1-0 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 7 Aug 2024

Vasco da Gama
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
📅07/08/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.48
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.02
X/2
14%
8.31
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.85
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasco da Gama v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.67/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
-62% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
23.8 Crosses 13.0
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 1.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
356 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.08.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRK
18.07.2024 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
08.01.2021 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
11.09.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1
19.10.2017 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 0-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
25.06.2017 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR1

Vasco da Gama 1-0 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
1-0
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
0.51 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
313 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama nicked a narrow win over Atletico Goianiense 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Vasco da Gama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 48% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 52%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.51 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 0.50 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense?

Vasco da Gama 1-0 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Cup on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 40%, draw 26%, Atletico Goianiense 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →