Libertad 2-2 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +29%
2.10/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.76
+17% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
30.01.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.12.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PARK
03.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
20.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
13.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-2
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
0.49 xG 0.95
72% Ball Possession 28%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
507 Passes 135
83% Pass Accuracy 57%
16 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad and Sportivo Trinidense shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Libertad had 72% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 28%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.49 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad and 0.83 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Libertad 2-2 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Libertad 53%, draw 23%, Sportivo Trinidense 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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