Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.98/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.79
+7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.12.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PARK
03.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
20.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
13.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
06.03.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
2-0
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad saw off Sportivo Trinidense 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Libertad had 57% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 43%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Libertad 2-0 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Libertad 52%, draw 23%, Sportivo Trinidense 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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