Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.10/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.26
-12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.01.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
25.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
10.09.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-4 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.06.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-1 HT 0-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
03.04.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
16.10.2022 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-0
AWAY General Caballero JLM
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano saw off General Caballero JLM 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 67% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 33%, shots finished 19-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, General Caballero JLM led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.17 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs General Caballero JLM?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 38%, draw 29%, General Caballero JLM 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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