Riga FC 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 30% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+27% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC cruised past Beitar Jerusalem 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Riga FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Riga FC 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 39%, draw 29%, Beitar Jerusalem 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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