Sparta Prag 4-1 FC Ararat-Armenia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.29
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.06
No
45%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
14%
7.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
73%
-5.5pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.2pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.3pp
45%
BTTS No
56%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Ararat-Armenia EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.96/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.65
+26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / +38%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
477 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
4-1
AWAY FC Ararat-Armenia
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs FC Ararat-Armenia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag swept aside FC Ararat-Armenia 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 57% of the ball to FC Ararat-Armenia's 43%, shots finished 19-10.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs FC Ararat-Armenia?

Sparta Prag 4-1 FC Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs FC Ararat-Armenia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 68%, draw 17%, FC Ararat-Armenia 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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