Rhode Island 1-0 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.54
2-3 Goals
34%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 37% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +5%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.97
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.0 Crosses 19.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rhode Island
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Detroit City
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.76 xG 1.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
324 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 2-0 HT 2-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
03.08.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Rhode Island Rhode Island USLP
09.06.2024 Rhode Island Rhode Island 0-2 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
1-0
AWAY Detroit City
1.16 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
302 Passes 339
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island nicked a narrow win over Detroit City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rhode Island as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Rhode Island had 47% of the ball to Detroit City's 53%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.16 to 1.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Detroit City.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Detroit City led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rhode Island and 1.67 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Detroit City?

Rhode Island 1-0 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 43%, draw 29%, Detroit City 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rhode Island), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rhode Island) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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