Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over Monterey Bay 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 59% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 41%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.41 to 1.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.20 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa?
Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 34%, draw 21%, FC Tulsa 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.