Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Monterey Bay 2-3 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over Monterey Bay 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
Under the surface, possession split 59% to 41% in Monterey Bay's favour, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.41 to 1.92.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.40 a game for Monterey Bay against 1.20 for FC Tulsa.
Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 2 - 3 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs FC Tulsa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 27%, draw 27%, FC Tulsa 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.