FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over Monterey Bay 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 58% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 42%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.50 to 1.93.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Tulsa and 0.25 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay?
FC Tulsa 2-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 50%, draw 28%, Monterey Bay 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.