Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hartford Athletic v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hartford Athletic 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Hartford Athletic 1-0 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hartford Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: both teams to score (57%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Hartford Athletic had 56% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 44%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.75 to 0.42 — by the quality of chances, Hartford Athletic deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.83 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
Hartford Athletic 0 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 42%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.