Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartford Athletic v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
0-2
HT 0-2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
2-3
HT 0-1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
Hartford Athletic
USLP
Hartford Athletic 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over Hartford Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hartford Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Hartford Athletic had 56% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 44%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.75 to 0.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hartford Athletic.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.83 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Hartford Athletic 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 41%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hartford Athletic) went the other way.