Hartford Athletic 2-0 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 7 Aug 2025

📅07/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.05
6+ Goals
13%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.7pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartford Athletic EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.73/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.28
+51% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.3 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartford Athletic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Miami FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 Passes 356
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
06.04.2024 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 3-2 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
01.10.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
20.08.2023 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
21.08.2022 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic 0-2 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
17.04.2022 Miami FC Miami FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartford Athletic Hartford Athletic USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartford Athletic
2-0
AWAY Miami FC
2.20 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
271 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartford Athletic got the better of Miami FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hartford Athletic as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartford Athletic had 43% of the ball to Miami FC's 57%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.20 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Miami FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hartford Athletic and 1.83 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

Hartford Athletic 2-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 07/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartford Athletic vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartford Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hartford Athletic 54%, draw 22%, Miami FC 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartford Athletic) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartford Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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