Union Santa Fe 2-1 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.57
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
19%
5.05
X/2
10%
5.8
X/X
13%
3.24
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.85
2/X
9%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
37%
+8.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.3pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-8.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.21/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.24
-17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
26.6 Crosses 16.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Lanus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
246 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2026 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
14.09.2024 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
28.03.2024 Lanus Lanus 2-2 HT 1-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
05.11.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.06.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
03.07.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
2-1
AWAY Lanus
0.49 xG 1.10
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
237 Passes 410
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe squeezed past Lanus 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.49 to 1.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lanus.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.00 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Lanus?

Union Santa Fe 2-1 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 46%, draw 29%, Lanus 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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