New York City FC 2-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
18%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
7.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 25% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
18%
Away Win
22%
-3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.75/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.37
-26% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.4 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
2-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.45 xG 1.13
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
484 Passes 384
19 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York City FC got the better of Santos Laguna 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.45 to 1.13.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs Santos Laguna?

New York City FC 2-0 Santos Laguna in the Concacaf League Cup on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 60%, draw 22%, Santos Laguna 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (New York City FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CONLK More Concacaf League Cup
7 Aug 2026
03:00 Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
03:30 Chicago Fire vs Necaxa Analysis →
04:00 Austin vs Tijuana Analysis →
05:00 Club America vs San Diego Analysis →
05:30 Portland Timbers vs Puebla Analysis →