Portland Timbers 5-2 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 21%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.81/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/1.71
+12% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
19.1 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
5-2
AWAY Puebla
2.39 xG 0.82
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 Passes 486
26 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers ran out comfortable winners over Puebla 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portland Timbers as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.39 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Puebla?

Portland Timbers 5-2 Puebla in the Concacaf League Cup on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Timbers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 55%, draw 20%, Puebla 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Timbers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portland Timbers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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