Cruz Azul 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 34%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.47
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
405 Passes 229
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
1-0
AWAY Philadelphia Union
0.82 xG 0.90
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
362 Passes 297
15 Box Touches 33
4 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Philadelphia Union 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.82 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?

Cruz Azul 1-0 Philadelphia Union in the Concacaf League Cup on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 40%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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