Leganes 3-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leganes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-84% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leganes
3-0
AWAY Merida AD
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leganes vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leganes ran out comfortable winners over Merida AD 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Leganes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Leganes vs Merida AD?

Leganes 3-0 Merida AD in the Friendlies on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leganes vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leganes 40%, draw 28%, Merida AD 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leganes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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