Aston Villa 1-2 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
49%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.8pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 51%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.49/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/1.99
-63% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
Crosses 11.3
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.40 xG 1.55
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
216 Passes 590
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 36
4 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
1-2
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.28 xG 1.12
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
336 Passes 461
21 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih edged past Aston Villa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.28 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih?

Aston Villa 1-2 Bayern Münih in the Friendlies on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 31%, draw 20%, Bayern Münih 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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