Aston Villa 1-0 Bayern Münih — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Champions League, 2 Oct 2024

Aston Villa WWWWD→
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Bayern Münih WWWWD→
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 20:35
Match Result
Home
19%
3.98
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
58%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.31
OverVIEW
64%
1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
17%
5.3
2-3
42%
1.98
4-5
30%
2.69
6+
11%
6.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.66
1/2
4%
20.3
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
7%
10.05
X/2
18%
4.33
X/X
13%
6.11
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
36%
2.09
2/X
5%
13.7
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Aston Villa v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Aston Villa The Market 25%
Signal
AWAY Bayern Münih The Market 59%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.26 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.03
1.97 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.94
– Attack Strength Strong
– Defense Strength Strong
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 500 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31
– Crosses 18
– Yellow Cards 2

Aston Villa 1-0 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
1 - 0
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.40 xG 1.55
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 11
216 Passes 590
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
7 Box Touches 36
4 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aston Villa found just enough to beat Bayern Münih 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

This one beat our numbers. Bayern Münih carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Bayern Münih saw more of the ball, 70% to 30%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.40 to 1.55 — by the quality of chances, Bayern Münih deserved more.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih Result & Final Score

Aston Villa 1 - 0 Bayern Münih in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aston Villa vs Bayern Münih Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 19%, draw 23%, Bayern Münih 58%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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