Liverpool 2-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.61
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.83
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
10%
5.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
32.5
X/1
16%
3.36
X/2
6%
31.5
X/X
11%
10.7
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
8%
24.0
2/X
4%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
80%
-23.4pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.2pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
525 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
39.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-0
AWAY Bologna
1.21 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
370 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool got the better of Bologna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool had 51% of the ball to Bologna's 49%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.21 to 0.59.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Bologna?

Liverpool 2-0 Bologna in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 57%, draw 24%, Bologna 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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