Girona 2-3 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.52
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.51
X/2
11%
7.89
X/X
10%
5.19
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
12%
5.51
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
2-3
AWAY Feyenoord
2.30 xG 1.86
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
515 Passes 241
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 9
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Girona vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord squeezed past Girona 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Girona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Girona had 66% of the ball to Feyenoord's 34%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.30 to 1.86 — on chances, Girona could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Girona vs Feyenoord?

Girona 2-3 Feyenoord in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Girona 45%, draw 25%, Feyenoord 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Girona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Girona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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