Lille 1-0 Real Madrid — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Champions League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 20:35
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
53%
1.8
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.98
Over
52%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.92
2-3
46%
1.84
4-5
23%
3.15
6+
6%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.34
1/2
4%
22.7
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
9%
8.79
X/2
18%
4.29
X/X
15%
5.21
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.32
2/X
5%
13.5
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lille The Market 27%
Signal
AWAY Real Madrid The Market 55%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.85 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
1.41 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.13
Bad Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Bad
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 84%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
1 - 0
AWAY Real Madrid
1.19 xG 2.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
367 Passes 522
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Lille vs Real Madrid
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Real Madrid 1-0.

A gentle 53% lean on Real Madrid didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Lille had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid's 58%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.19 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Madrid.

Lille vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score

Lille 1 - 0 Real Madrid in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lille 22%, draw 25%, Real Madrid 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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