Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lille v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Lille 1-0 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Lille came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Real Madrid 1-0.
A gentle 53% lean on Real Madrid didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Lille had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid's 58%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.19 to 2.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Real Madrid.
Lille vs Real Madrid Result & Final Score
Lille 1 - 0 Real Madrid in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lille 22%, draw 25%, Real Madrid 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.