Benfica vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Benfica v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Benfica 4-0 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica swept aside Atletico Madrid 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Benfica made the difference.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 49% and both teams to score at 54%.
On the day, possession split 53% to 47% in Benfica's favour, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 4.46 to 0.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Benfica against 1.67 for Atletico Madrid.
Benfica vs Atletico Madrid Result & Final Score
Benfica 4 - 0 Atletico Madrid in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Benfica vs Atletico Madrid Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Benfica 35%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 36%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.