Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
45%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.59
1/2
9%
20.65
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
8%
9.56
X/2
9%
4.23
X/X
11%
5.95
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.14
2/X
10%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 58%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.26/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.60
+5% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
11.5 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-2
AWAY Monaco
0.99 xG 2.07
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
228 Passes 423
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb and Monaco shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Monaco at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 38% of the ball to Monaco's 62%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.99 to 2.07.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Monaco?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 Monaco in the Champions League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 28%, draw 27%, Monaco 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monaco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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