Melbourne City 0-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2026

Melbourne City
0-2 HT 0-1
Palermo
📅07/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Friendlies – 2026

Melbourne City vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
8%
8.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 29% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.5pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne City v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / –
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Melbourne City vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo got the better of Melbourne City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Melbourne City vs Palermo?

Melbourne City 0-2 Palermo in the Friendlies on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City 18%, draw 27%, Palermo 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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