Monza 3-3 Padova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 7 Aug 2026

Monza
3-3 HT 0-0
Padova
📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Monza vs Padova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.74 — our 24% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
18%
3.99
X/2
9%
9.64
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.2
2/2
9%
8.17
2/X
5%
17.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monza v Padova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova EU Bookmakers 22%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Monza 3-3 Padova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
3-3
AWAY Padova
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Monza vs Padova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Padova couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Monza at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Monza vs Padova?

Monza 3-3 Padova in the Friendlies on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Padova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Monza 53%, draw 24%, Padova 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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