VVV-Venlo 3-4 Heracles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
13%
7.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.64
1/2
7%
22.05
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
10%
7.14
X/2
15%
5.17
X/X
8%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
2/2
20%
2.83
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Heracles EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.63/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.97
+29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
18.4 Crosses 25.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Heracles
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.36 xG 1.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
314 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL2
09.09.2022 Heracles Heracles 5-3 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
01.05.2021 Heracles Heracles 4-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL
07.11.2020 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
14.02.2020 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-0 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
09.11.2019 Heracles Heracles 6-1 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
3-4
AWAY Heracles
1.28 xG 3.92
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 303
27 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ VVV-Venlo vs Heracles
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Heracles edged past VVV-Venlo 4-3 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 7 Aug 2026. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 1.28 to 3.92.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VVV-Venlo and 3.00 for Heracles.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Heracles?

VVV-Venlo 3-4 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Heracles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 37%, draw 21%, Heracles 42%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heracles), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heracles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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