Dordrecht 2-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.33
Over 2.5
64%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
6%
9.04
X/X
8%
6.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.15
2/2
7%
6.29
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
53%
+8.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
39%
-3.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
61%
+3.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.3pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.69/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.81
+15% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.4 Crosses 11.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.73 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2026 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.11.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
04.04.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
30.09.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
29.01.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-1
AWAY Ajax II
1.80 xG 2.66
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
304 Passes 279
28 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Ajax II 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.80 to 2.66 — on chances, Ajax II could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dordrecht and 0.50 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Ajax II?

Dordrecht 2-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 61%, draw 20%, Ajax II 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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