Dordrecht 3-0 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.61
2-3 Goals
42%
2.15
4-5 Goals
27%
2.4
6+ Goals
13%
4.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.01
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.66
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
9%
7.5
2/1
7%
17.8
2/2
8%
6.9
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.5pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.00/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.82
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
20.8 Crosses 11.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ajax II
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.84 xG 1.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
250 Passes 475
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
29.01.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
03.04.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-1 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
04.11.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-4 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
11.03.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 2-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-0
AWAY Ajax II
2.00 xG 0.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 7
254 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht cruised past Ajax II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dordrecht had 48% of the ball to Ajax II's 52%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.00 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dordrecht and 2.17 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Ajax II?

Dordrecht 3-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 55%, draw 22%, Ajax II 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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