FC Oss 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.29
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.34
X/2
18%
5.46
X/X
13%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
2/2
16%
3.39
2/X
6%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.33/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.12
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
20.7 Crosses 21.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
3W-1D-2L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.23
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 379
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
29.03.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.12.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
24.02.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
26.08.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 1-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
17.12.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
2-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.42 xG 2.13
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 10
174 Passes 367
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss nicked a narrow win over VVV-Venlo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Oss had 37% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 63%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.42 to 2.13 — on chances, VVV-Venlo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Oss and 1.17 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs VVV-Venlo?

FC Oss 2-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated an VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 32%, draw 26%, VVV-Venlo 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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