Volendam 4-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Apr 2025

Volendam
4-0 HT 0-0
PSV II
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Volendam vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.94
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
9.11
2-3 Goals
36%
2.47
4-5 Goals
29%
2.27
6+ Goals
15%
3.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.46
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.45
X/1
17%
4.32
X/2
6%
19.25
X/X
11%
10.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
16.65
2/2
8%
13.7
2/X
5%
22.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.65 — our 10% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-12.9pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volendam v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -9%
2.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.05
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
443 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.2 Crosses 13.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Volendam vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
5W-1D-0L
AWAY PSV II
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.02 xG 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 417
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.11.2024 PSV II PSV II 1-4 HT 0-4 Volendam Volendam HOL2
04.04.2022 PSV II PSV II 2-2 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
10.12.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-2 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.05.2021 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
16.10.2020 Volendam Volendam 5-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
17.01.2020 Volendam Volendam 4-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2

Volendam 4-0 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
4-0
AWAY PSV II
3.25 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
398 Passes 397
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
35 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volendam vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam swept aside PSV II 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 51% of the ball to PSV II's 49%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 3.25 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Volendam and 1.33 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Volendam vs PSV II?

Volendam 4-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Volendam 59%, draw 22%, PSV II 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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