Vitesse 2-2 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.43
Over 2.5
57%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
12%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.43
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.85
X/2
14%
8.27
X/X
8%
6.3
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
10%
5.48
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.65/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.33
-38% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
26.9 Crosses 10.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-0D-0L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.74 xG 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
270 Passes 469
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-2
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.19 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
240 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 44% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 56%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.19 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Vitesse 2-2 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 46%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar II 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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