Dordrecht 0-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.74
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
4%
12.8
X/X
8%
7.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
19.0
2/2
9%
9.53
2/X
5%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.0 — our 15% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
64%
+0.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
2.01/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.01
+10% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
21.5 Crosses 11.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
04.04.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
30.09.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
29.01.2024 Ajax II Ajax II 2-2 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-0 HT 3-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
03.04.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-1 HT 2-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
0-1
AWAY Ajax II
0.87 xG 1.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
457 Passes 222
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
41 Box Touches 15
33 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax II nicked a narrow win over Dordrecht 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Dordrecht carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 64% of the ball to Ajax II's 36%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.87 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dordrecht and 1.00 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Ajax II?

Dordrecht 0-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 65%, draw 18%, Ajax II 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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