Helmond Sport 1-3 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Feb 2026

📅20/02/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
13%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.75
1/2
6%
19.3
1/X
6%
17.95
X/1
5%
12.85
X/2
20%
4.1
X/X
8%
7.09
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
35%
1.73
2/X
8%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.02/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.08
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
247 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.1
16.0 Crosses 24.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-1D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.08.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
17.01.2025 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
25.11.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 2-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.04.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
01.12.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-2 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
28.04.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.18 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
319 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag beat Helmond Sport 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 47% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 53%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.18 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.67 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag?

Helmond Sport 1-3 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 17%, draw 22%, ADO Den Haag 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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